{"id":106828,"date":"2025-03-28T23:50:24","date_gmt":"2025-03-28T23:50:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ushopwell.com\/ublog\/breakdown-coming-sp-just-got-ugly-dowside-5400-elliott-wave-sp500-vix-technical-analysis\/"},"modified":"2025-03-28T23:50:24","modified_gmt":"2025-03-28T23:50:24","slug":"breakdown-coming-sp-just-got-ugly-dowside-5400-elliott-wave-sp500-vix-technical-analysis","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ushopwell.com\/ublog\/breakdown-coming-sp-just-got-ugly-dowside-5400-elliott-wave-sp500-vix-technical-analysis\/","title":{"rendered":"BREAKDOWN Coming&#8230; S&#038;P Just Got UGLY! Dowside @5400  | Elliott Wave S&#038;P500 VIX Technical Analysis"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"youtubomatic-video-container\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" width=\"580\" height=\"380\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/JEP5vpCQxk8?autoplay=1&#038;controls=1&#038;hl=en\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/div>\n<p>Rob Roy\u2019s overall view of the U.S. markets is cautious and bearish in the short term. He highlights that the S&#038;P is forming a confirmed or near-confirmed Elliott Wave Zig-Zag to the downside, with the potential for SPY to drop to the 540 level. Economic data such as hotter-than-expected PCE and falling consumer confidence are weighing on sentiment, and the lack of consumer spending raises concerns for this consumer-driven economy. While the Fed is unlikely to cut rates soon, the bond market&#8217;s odd behavior\u2014falling yields on a down day\u2014may signal expectations of economic weakness ahead. Most major indices (DIA, QQQ, IWM) are showing weakness, with small caps particularly under pressure. Volatility (VIX) has ticked up but not spiked, and assets like gold and silver are at resistance levels. Crypto had a risk-off flush, and equities like Nvidia and Palantir are also under pressure. Overall, Rob sees more downside potential unless markets can show early-week strength or confirmation of support holds.<\/p>\n<p>:: How to  Subscribe to TRADEFINDER LIVE! for Free ::<br \/>\n &#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;<br \/>\nBecome a FREE Tradefinder Member using the link below.<br \/>\nAs a subscriber you\u2019ll watch live as Rob finds new trading opportunities each week.<br \/>\n\u25ba Registration Link: <a href=\"https:\/\/ewotrader.com\/tradefinder\/\" target=\"_blank\">https:\/\/ewotrader.com\/tradefinder\/<\/a><\/p>\n<p>:: Subscribe to the HUBB Channel for Live Updates and Q&#038;A  ::<br \/>\n &#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;<br \/>\nTo participate in Q&#038;A with Rob Roy, join us at the HUBB YouTube channel. Click the link below now to subscribe for free.<br \/>\n\u25ba Registration Link: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/channel\/UCw4SxOmqzUx1TK0DajR92Jw?sub_confirmation=1\" target=\"_blank\">https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/channel\/UCw4SxOmqzUx1TK0DajR92Jw?sub_confirmation=1<\/a><\/p>\n<p>:: Sections in this Video ::<br \/>\n &#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;<br \/>\n00: 00 &#8211; Introduction<br \/>\n00: 24 &#8211; US Market Update<br \/>\n03: 29 &#8211; Economic News<br \/>\n04: 31 &#8211; SPY<br \/>\n05: 05 &#8211; VIX<br \/>\n06: 04 &#8211; TLT<br \/>\n07: 45 &#8211; TNX<br \/>\n08: 34 &#8211; DIA<br \/>\n09: 06 &#8211; QQQ<br \/>\n09: 51 &#8211; IWM<br \/>\n11: 06 &#8211; GLD<br \/>\n12: 00 &#8211; SLV<br \/>\n12: 43 &#8211; UNG<br \/>\n14: 42 &#8211; USO<br \/>\n16: 16 &#8211; Bitcoin (BTC)<br \/>\n17: 25 &#8211; ETH<br \/>\n18: 12 &#8211; XRP<br \/>\n18: 54 &#8211; SOL<br \/>\n19: 30 &#8211; ADA<br \/>\n20: 03 &#8211; GDX<br \/>\n21: 10 &#8211; CELH<br \/>\n24: 05 &#8211; NVDA<br \/>\n25: 20 &#8211; PLTR<br \/>\n26: 36 &#8211; TSLA<br \/>\n28: 09 &#8211; INDA<br \/>\n29: 40 &#8211; TradeFinder Info<\/p>\n<p>:: To receive TRADE ALERTS for our strategies see links below ::<br \/>\n&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;<br \/>\n\u25ba EWO Volatility Strategy <a href=\"https:\/\/ewotrader.com\/the-volatility-strategy\/\" target=\"_blank\">https:\/\/ewotrader.com\/the-volatility-strategy\/<\/a><br \/>\n\u25ba EWO Impulse Strategy <a href=\"https:\/\/ewotrader.com\/the-impulse-strategy\/\" target=\"_blank\">https:\/\/ewotrader.com\/the-impulse-strategy\/<\/a><br \/>\n\u25ba EWO Time Strategy <a href=\"https:\/\/ewotrader.com\/the-time-strategy\/\" target=\"_blank\">https:\/\/ewotrader.com\/the-time-strategy\/<\/a><\/p>\n<p>:: Other Links to Follow Us::<br \/>\n&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8211;<br \/>\n\u25ba Instagram: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.instagram.com\/elliottwaveoptions\/\" target=\"_blank\">http:\/\/www.instagram.com\/elliottwaveoptions\/<\/a><br \/>\n\u25ba Facebook: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.facebook.com\/elliottwaveoptions\/\" target=\"_blank\">http:\/\/www.facebook.com\/elliottwaveoptions\/<\/a><br \/>\n\u25ba LinkedIn: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/company\/elliott-wave-options\/\" target=\"_blank\">http:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/company\/elliott-wave-options\/<\/a><br \/>\n\u25ba Twitter: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/ewotrader\" target=\"_blank\">http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/ewotrader<\/a><br \/>\n\u25ba Website: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ewotrader.com\" target=\"_blank\">http:\/\/www.ewotrader.com<\/a><\/p>\n<p>In this week\u2019s market update, Rob Roy expands on the current weakness across U.S. equities by focusing on the structure and implications of a developing zigzag pattern in the S&#038;P 500. While not yet fully confirmed, this corrective wave pattern suggests further downside is likely, with a potential move toward the 540 level on SPY. Friday\u2019s close on the low, along with significant separation from the 10-day moving average, signals short-term oversold conditions\u2014but not necessarily a reversal. The broader tape was negative across the board, with no real buyers stepping in, which supports the idea that a deeper correction could be unfolding.<\/p>\n<p>Economic data added fuel to the selloff. The PCE report came in hotter than expected, dampening hopes for a near-term Fed rate cut. Although personal income rose, consumer spending lagged, pointing to a cautious consumer\u2014a red flag in a consumer-driven economy. Rob also noted that falling consumer confidence and the absence of a clear Fed policy catalyst further contribute to market uncertainty.<\/p>\n<p>Across other major indices, the Dow (DIA), Nasdaq (QQQ), and small caps (IWM) all rolled over after failing to break key resistance levels. The IWM looks particularly vulnerable, having closed at the key 200 level and potentially targeting the 161.8% extension level if follow-through occurs. The VIX ticked higher but hasn\u2019t spiked, suggesting that investor fear remains relatively contained\u2014possibly setting the stage for a sharper move if volatility expands.<\/p>\n<p>In the bond market, yields surprisingly fell despite equity weakness, suggesting a flight to safety or growing concerns about future economic softness. Gold and silver remain in uptrends but are testing resistance, and Rob warns they may pause or pull back unless new catalysts emerge. Cryptocurrencies had a risk-off breakdown, with Bitcoin, Ethereum, and others all breaking support from recent triangle patterns. Overall, the market is showing classic signs of risk aversion, with caution dominating across asset classes heading into next week.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Rob Roy\u2019s overall view of the U.S. markets is cautious and bearish in the short term. He highlights that the S&#038;P is forming a confirmed or near-confirmed Elliott Wave Zig-Zag to the downside, with the potential for SPY to drop to the 540 level. Economic data such as hotter-than-expected PCE and falling consumer confidence are weighing on sentiment, and the lack of consumer spending raises concerns for this consumer-driven economy&#8230;.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","tve_updated_post":"","tve_custom_css":"","tve_user_custom_css":"","tve_globals":{},"tcb2_ready":0,"tcb_editor_enabled":0,"tve_landing_page":"","_tve_header":"","_tve_footer":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-106828","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.9 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>BREAKDOWN Coming... S&amp;P Just Got UGLY! 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