{"id":107952,"date":"2025-04-05T00:59:54","date_gmt":"2025-04-05T00:59:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ushopwell.com\/ublog\/historic-plunge-but-is-this-the-bottom-bounce-coming-elliott-wave-sp500-vix-technical-analysis\/"},"modified":"2025-04-05T00:59:54","modified_gmt":"2025-04-05T00:59:54","slug":"historic-plunge-but-is-this-the-bottom-bounce-coming-elliott-wave-sp500-vix-technical-analysis","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ushopwell.com\/ublog\/historic-plunge-but-is-this-the-bottom-bounce-coming-elliott-wave-sp500-vix-technical-analysis\/","title":{"rendered":"Historic PLUNGE but is this the Bottom? Bounce Coming! | Elliott Wave S&#038;P500 VIX Technical Analysis"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"youtubomatic-video-container\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" width=\"580\" height=\"380\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/QKbkgnOb-lo?autoplay=1&#038;controls=1&#038;hl=en\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/div>\n<p>Rob Roy believes the market is at or near a tradable bottom after a sharp, textbook Elliott Wave zigzag correction that hit key Fibonacci targets across all major indices. While he expects a short-term bounce early next week due to oversold conditions and behind-the-scenes Fed liquidity injections, he cautions that this is likely a temporary rebound, not the start of a new uptrend. Volatility remains high, with the VIX spiking to 45, and macroeconomic data suggests continued contraction. Rob advises short-duration trades (1\u20133 days) and staying cautious, watching for potential choppy movement or further downside after the bounce.<\/p>\n<p>:: FREE AI ALERT TRIAL (THIS WEEK ONLY) ::<br \/>\n &#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;<br \/>\n\u25ba Registration Link: <a href=\"https:\/\/ewotrader.com\/trial\" target=\"_blank\">https:\/\/ewotrader.com\/trial<\/a><\/p>\n<p>:: How to  Subscribe to TRADEFINDER LIVE! for Free ::<br \/>\n &#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;<br \/>\nBecome a FREE Tradefinder Member using the link below.<br \/>\nAs a subscriber you\u2019ll watch live as Rob finds new trading opportunities each week.<br \/>\n\u25ba Registration Link: <a href=\"https:\/\/ewotrader.com\/tradefinder\/\" target=\"_blank\">https:\/\/ewotrader.com\/tradefinder\/<\/a><\/p>\n<p>:: Sections in this Video ::<br \/>\n &#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;<br \/>\n00: 00 &#8211; Introduction<br \/>\n00: 30 &#8211; SPY Overview<br \/>\n01: 00 &#8211; Rob called it!<br \/>\n01: 46 &#8211; SPY Deep Dive<br \/>\n03: 20 &#8211; SPX &#038; Macro Phases<br \/>\n05: 05 &#8211; SPX &#038; Fed Liquidity<br \/>\n06: 50 &#8211; FREE MONTH OF AI IMPULSE BASED STRATEGY!<br \/>\n08: 27 &#8211; SPY Weekly Chart<br \/>\n11: 06 &#8211; VIX<br \/>\n12: 05 &#8211; TLT<br \/>\n13: 58 &#8211; TNX<br \/>\n14: 36 &#8211; DIA<br \/>\n15: 20 &#8211; QQQ<br \/>\n16: 13 &#8211; IWM<br \/>\n17: 19 &#8211; GLD<br \/>\n18: 03 &#8211; SLV<br \/>\n19: 10 &#8211; Bitcoin (BTC)<br \/>\n19: 50 &#8211; US Dollar<br \/>\n20: 32 &#8211; ETH<br \/>\n21: 01 &#8211; XRP<br \/>\n21: 33 &#8211; SOL<br \/>\n21: 58 &#8211; ADA<br \/>\n22: 56 &#8211; UNG<br \/>\n24: 55 &#8211; USO<br \/>\n26: 13 &#8211; NVDA<br \/>\n27: 51 &#8211; PLTR<br \/>\n28: 51 &#8211; TSLA<br \/>\n30: 52 &#8211; AAPL<br \/>\n31: 55 &#8211; SRPT<br \/>\n32: 58 &#8211; T<br \/>\n33: 33 &#8211; TMUS<br \/>\n34: 22 &#8211; AMD<br \/>\n35: 30 &#8211; NOC<br \/>\n36: 43 &#8211; MSFT<br \/>\n38: 18 &#8211; SPY Revisit<br \/>\n38: 49 &#8211; INDA<br \/>\n40: 21 &#8211; TradeFinder INFO<\/p>\n<p>:: To receive TRADE ALERTS for our strategies see links below ::<br \/>\n&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;<br \/>\n\u25ba EWO Volatility Strategy <a href=\"https:\/\/ewotrader.com\/the-volatility-strategy\/\" target=\"_blank\">https:\/\/ewotrader.com\/the-volatility-strategy\/<\/a><br \/>\n\u25ba EWO Impulse Strategy <a href=\"https:\/\/ewotrader.com\/the-impulse-strategy\/\" target=\"_blank\">https:\/\/ewotrader.com\/the-impulse-strategy\/<\/a><br \/>\n\u25ba EWO Time Strategy <a href=\"https:\/\/ewotrader.com\/the-time-strategy\/\" target=\"_blank\">https:\/\/ewotrader.com\/the-time-strategy\/<\/a><\/p>\n<p>:: Other Links to Follow Us::<br \/>\n&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8211;<br \/>\n\u25ba Instagram: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.instagram.com\/elliottwaveoptions\/\" target=\"_blank\">http:\/\/www.instagram.com\/elliottwaveoptions\/<\/a><br \/>\n\u25ba Facebook: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.facebook.com\/elliottwaveoptions\/\" target=\"_blank\">http:\/\/www.facebook.com\/elliottwaveoptions\/<\/a><br \/>\n\u25ba LinkedIn: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/company\/elliott-wave-options\/\" target=\"_blank\">http:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/company\/elliott-wave-options\/<\/a><br \/>\n\u25ba Twitter: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/ewotrader\" target=\"_blank\">http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/ewotrader<\/a><br \/>\n\u25ba Website: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ewotrader.com\" target=\"_blank\">http:\/\/www.ewotrader.com<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Rob also examines key technical indicators like the 10-day moving average and VIX, which spiked to 45, indicating possible capitulation.<\/p>\n<p>Rob then shifts to a macroeconomic view, sharing insights from HUBB\u2019s data science team. He highlights a shift from expansion to contraction in the U.S. economy, reinforcing the cautious outlook. He also analyzes Fed liquidity data, revealing that despite public perception, the Fed has quietly resumed liquidity injections\u2014an important factor supporting the idea that we may be nearing a bottom.<\/p>\n<p>Next, Rob reviews the bond market via TLT, showing a breakout as investors seek safety, with yields falling. He connects this to Fed Fund Futures now pricing in a 100% chance of a rate cut in May\u2014something he views as potentially premature, given strong jobs data. He also examines the 10-year yield (TNX) and how falling rates may support equities in the near term.<\/p>\n<p>Moving into sectors and key stocks, Rob covers charts and Elliott Wave patterns for Nvidia (NVDA), Tesla (TSLA), Apple (AAPL), Palantir (PLTR), AMD, Microsoft (MSFT), and more. Many of these names are also completing zigzag patterns or breaking critical support, suggesting select oversold conditions but with caution still warranted. He discusses how breaking psychological levels (e.g., $100 on NVDA and AMD) can create short-lived trades or test investor conviction.<\/p>\n<p>In commodities, Rob reviews gold (GLD) and silver (SLV), both of which have paused after strong rallies, with GLD potentially targeting $300 longer-term. He also analyzes energy markets, including natural gas (UNG) and oil (USO), the latter testing support within its long-standing range and potentially prompting OPEC action if weakness continues.<\/p>\n<p>He rounds out the video with an update on crypto markets, including Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, Solana, and Cardano\u2014highlighting their surprising strength amid equity weakness and reinforcing that crypto may be decoupling from traditional risk sentiment.<\/p>\n<p>Finally, Rob touches on international markets like India (INDA), showing classic five-wave patterns and warning of further downside risk.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Rob Roy believes the market is at or near a tradable bottom after a sharp, textbook Elliott Wave zigzag correction that hit key Fibonacci targets across all major indices. While he expects a short-term bounce early next week due to oversold conditions and behind-the-scenes Fed liquidity injections, he cautions that this is likely a temporary rebound, not the start of a new uptrend. Volatility remains high, with the VIX spiking&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":107953,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","tve_updated_post":"","tve_custom_css":"","tve_user_custom_css":"","tve_globals":{},"tcb2_ready":0,"tcb_editor_enabled":0,"tve_landing_page":"","_tve_header":"","_tve_footer":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-107952","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Historic PLUNGE but is this the Bottom? 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