Dozens of hypotheses, each weeks of work; a handful survived. How small what survives really is, what finding it cost, and why I describe its shape but not its settings.

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Chapters:
0: 00 Intro: dozens of hypotheses, a handful left
0: 49 The base rate: most hypotheses fail
1: 18 What survived: a market structure event
1: 56 Why settings don’t transfer between traders
2: 35 A small real edge vs a large fake one
3: 13 The cost: years and one real drawdown
3: 53 Kill wrong ideas cheaply, before money
4: 21 What to test next

I’m Vasyl Lavrinenko. For more than 20 years I’ve been building trading systems for real investors, and my Expert Advisors have won awards at international trading competitions. On this channel I test trading ideas on real market data and show what actually works, and what doesn’t.

💬 Which idea should I test next? Tell me in the comments.
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Topics: backtesting trading strategies, how to backtest a strategy, win rate vs risk reward, trading costs, overfitting in trading, algorithmic trading, forex trading strategy testing.
#backtesting #tradingstrategy #forex

Educational content only, not financial advice. Trading involves a risk of loss.