Bitcoin is at a true make-or-break level right now. In this video, Aaron breaks down why repeated pierces of long-term overhead resistance matter, why that level has been weakening since Friday, and where BTC is most likely headed next if bulls manage one more push higher.
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The clearest upside target is the remaining CME gap at $81,145, with the daily TBO cloud around 79K also acting as a major reference point. Aaron explains why that upside still looks tradeable on paper, but also why it does not outweigh the broader bearish setup if you still believe this is a bottom-year bear market rally.
He also walks through the bigger macro risk stack, including weakening RSI on Bitcoin, a possible DXY rebound, open gaps across major indices, and the danger zone forming in USDJPY if yen weakness forces another reaction from the Bank of Japan. If you want the exact bull and bear trigger levels, plus the larger thesis behind this setup, this is the full breakdown.
📖 Chapters 📖
00: 00 Bitcoin at make-or-break resistance
01: 33 The 81,145 CME gap target
02: 46 Why the bearish reward still looks better
04: 05 Why Aaron still prefers the short side
04: 18 The 79K daily TBO cloud target
06: 30 Support fan levels explained
08: 45 Key bull and bear trigger levels
10: 26 RSI weakness on Bitcoin
11: 46 DXY setup and the next macro risk
13: 13 S&P, Nasdaq, and USDJPY danger zone
15: 44 Why the bear market thesis still stands
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🔔 Disclaimer: The information contained herein is for informational purposes only. Nothing herein shall be construed to be financial, legal, or tax advice.
The content of this video is solely the opinions of the speaker who is not a licensed financial advisor or registered investment advisor.
Trading cryptocurrencies poses considerable risk of loss. The speaker does not guarantee any particular outcome.