Can AI trade stocks and cryptocurrencies — and what would prove that a trading bot actually works? After about three years developing AI-assisted trading systems, I explain what these systems can do, where they fail, and why working software is different from a profitable strategy.
This is episode 2 of my trading bot development journey. We cover APIs, market data, prediction uncertainty, machine learning, backtesting, overfitting, data leakage, execution costs, funding and risk management.
Previous crypto episode: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M77IlLs4I0U
Not investment advice. No trading signals, guaranteed returns or verified bot performance are claimed.
The chart is a chronological replay of real Bybit BTCUSDT linear perpetual trade data, with 1-minute candles. Replay window: 2026-07-06 08: 00: 00–09: 32: 04 UTC. Historical playback is accelerated approximately 5.046×. It is illustrative market history, not a record of my own account, orders or strategy. Future price movements are revealed only as the replay advances.
English master narration and Turkish alternate audio use my authorized ElevenLabs voice clone. Some visual design elements were generated with AI. The chart itself uses historical market data.
CHAPTERS
00: 00 Introduction
01: 33 What can AI actually do?
03: 40 Can AI access exchange data?
05: 53 Why isn’t everyone making money with AI?
07: 42 Knowing the data does not mean knowing the future
09: 22 Is AI better than a human trader?
10: 51 Can we develop our own AI trader?
12: 27 A working bot is not the same as a profitable bot
14: 35 How did I get started?
16: 06 Conclusion: Can AI really make money?
RESEARCH AND DATA SOURCES
https://bybit-exchange.github.io/docs/v5/market/orderbook
https://bybit-exchange.github.io/docs/v5/market/kline
https://scikit-learn.org/stable/modules/generated/sklearn.model_selection.TimeSeriesSplit.html
https://scikit-learn.org/stable/common_pitfalls.html
https://www.cftc.gov/sites/default/files/2024/01/AITradingBots_0.pdf
https://www.tradingview.com/
Charting: TradingView Lightweight Charts (Apache 2.0), https://www.tradingview.com/ . Rendering/encoding: FFmpeg.
What evidence would you need before trusting an AI trading system? Share your thoughts in the comments.
#AI #TradingBots #Bitcoin