Soft data just killed the September hike — retail sales fell 0.6%, consumer sentiment cratered to 51, and hike odds collapsed to ~32%. Stocks closed at record highs. Gold held above $4,400. And Bitcoin leaked instead. That divergence is the tell, and the weekly close decides what it’s telling us. Live: the floor that matters, what opens beneath it, the seasonality numbers most channels have never read, and my current short structure with every trigger pre-committed.
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ABOUT THIS CHANNEL
Eric Krown is a former NYSE ARCA options market maker with 16 years in the markets. This channel delivers daily Bitcoin and macro market analysis using a systematic five-layer framework: Trend, Volatility, Structure, Momentum, and Risk — the same methodology used on the trading floor. No hype. Data-driven analysis with proof of trade.
This content is for educational and entertainment purposes only. Not financial advice. Trade at your own risk. Do not trade on any exchange that prohibits trading from your geographical region.
#Bitcoin #Stocks #investing
0: 00 Countdown
10: 11 We’re live — and now streaming to X too
11: 03 Short-term and medium-term: still bearish
14: 00 Losing the reclaim opens the door
15: 02 September hike odds collapsed 50% → 32%
16: 56 August has closed red in 8 of the last 12 years
18: 01 62,200 — the level that matters on a daily close
19: 02 Proof of trade: sold for 500, bought back at 50
19: 40 I shorted Bitcoin just under 64,000
21: 00 This week was the window if downside was coming
22: 05 Why I still don’t think Bitcoin is poised for new lows
23: 57 The stats: what a POSITIVE closing August looks like
26: 01 And what a NEGATIVE closing August looks like
27: 02 Closer to the bottom of the range than the top
28: 44 Kalshi: playing the hourlies
29: 08 Coinbase: 80% spot fee reduction
30: 21 Super Chats and your charts begin
60: 00 Bitcoin check-in mid-stream
75: 00 On being broke, and what it actually takes to build wealth
80: 00 What we were taught about history — and what we weren’t
98: 00 Connecting Claude to Central Command
101: 03 What’s the difference between an algorithm and a bot?
104: 00 Where AI actually goes from here
113: 00 Kalshi close + final Bitcoin look
118: 00 Sign-off