Rob Roy believes the market is at or near a tradable bottom after a sharp, textbook Elliott Wave zigzag correction that hit key Fibonacci targets across all major indices. While he expects a short-term bounce early next week due to oversold conditions and behind-the-scenes Fed liquidity injections, he cautions that this is likely a temporary rebound, not the start of a new uptrend. Volatility remains high, with the VIX spiking to 45, and macroeconomic data suggests continued contraction. Rob advises short-duration trades (1–3 days) and staying cautious, watching for potential choppy movement or further downside after the bounce.
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:: Sections in this Video ::
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00: 00 – Introduction
00: 30 – SPY Overview
01: 00 – Rob called it!
01: 46 – SPY Deep Dive
03: 20 – SPX & Macro Phases
05: 05 – SPX & Fed Liquidity
06: 50 – FREE MONTH OF AI IMPULSE BASED STRATEGY!
08: 27 – SPY Weekly Chart
11: 06 – VIX
12: 05 – TLT
13: 58 – TNX
14: 36 – DIA
15: 20 – QQQ
16: 13 – IWM
17: 19 – GLD
18: 03 – SLV
19: 10 – Bitcoin (BTC)
19: 50 – US Dollar
20: 32 – ETH
21: 01 – XRP
21: 33 – SOL
21: 58 – ADA
22: 56 – UNG
24: 55 – USO
26: 13 – NVDA
27: 51 – PLTR
28: 51 – TSLA
30: 52 – AAPL
31: 55 – SRPT
32: 58 – T
33: 33 – TMUS
34: 22 – AMD
35: 30 – NOC
36: 43 – MSFT
38: 18 – SPY Revisit
38: 49 – INDA
40: 21 – TradeFinder INFO
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Rob also examines key technical indicators like the 10-day moving average and VIX, which spiked to 45, indicating possible capitulation.
Rob then shifts to a macroeconomic view, sharing insights from HUBB’s data science team. He highlights a shift from expansion to contraction in the U.S. economy, reinforcing the cautious outlook. He also analyzes Fed liquidity data, revealing that despite public perception, the Fed has quietly resumed liquidity injections—an important factor supporting the idea that we may be nearing a bottom.
Next, Rob reviews the bond market via TLT, showing a breakout as investors seek safety, with yields falling. He connects this to Fed Fund Futures now pricing in a 100% chance of a rate cut in May—something he views as potentially premature, given strong jobs data. He also examines the 10-year yield (TNX) and how falling rates may support equities in the near term.
Moving into sectors and key stocks, Rob covers charts and Elliott Wave patterns for Nvidia (NVDA), Tesla (TSLA), Apple (AAPL), Palantir (PLTR), AMD, Microsoft (MSFT), and more. Many of these names are also completing zigzag patterns or breaking critical support, suggesting select oversold conditions but with caution still warranted. He discusses how breaking psychological levels (e.g., $100 on NVDA and AMD) can create short-lived trades or test investor conviction.
In commodities, Rob reviews gold (GLD) and silver (SLV), both of which have paused after strong rallies, with GLD potentially targeting $300 longer-term. He also analyzes energy markets, including natural gas (UNG) and oil (USO), the latter testing support within its long-standing range and potentially prompting OPEC action if weakness continues.
He rounds out the video with an update on crypto markets, including Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, Solana, and Cardano—highlighting their surprising strength amid equity weakness and reinforcing that crypto may be decoupling from traditional risk sentiment.
Finally, Rob touches on international markets like India (INDA), showing classic five-wave patterns and warning of further downside risk.