Bitcoin’s monthly RSI just hit the exact 40.5 level that marked the previous cycle bottom—but timing data reveals a major cycle duration conflict.

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In this Short, we analyze Bitcoin (BTCUSD) using the “Stock Swings Master” script on TradingView. While weekly RSI displays higher lows and the monthly RSI bounced at 40.5, historical cycle metrics show past macro bottoms required 364 to 371 days of consolidation before a true bottom was locked in. Calling a bottom right now would mean an unusually early macro reversal.

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• Combines momentum oscillator levels (RSI 40.5) with historical time-duration metrics
• Prevents premature capital deployment during macro cycle transitions
• Built by an MBA & Financial Data Analyst with 5+ years of quantitative research
• Includes full access to 11 Pine Script v6 tools + a personal 1-on-1 Zoom setup call

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All content, scripts, and chart demonstrations are strictly for educational and entertainment purposes only and DO NOT constitute financial or investment advice. Trading stocks, options, crypto, and futures involves substantial risk of capital loss. Past performance is not indicative of future results, and no guarantees or claims of profitability are made. QuantRegime operates independently and adheres strictly to TradingView Vendor Requirements.

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