Stochastic RSI Wins 55% of Trades – And Still Lost Half on Bitcoin

▶ FULL 6-MIN BREAKDOWN: youtube.com/watch?v=qic1B6eHVbQ

The Stochastic RSI is the most popular oscillator in crypto — and it exposes the most misleading number in all of trading: win rate.

THE TEST — Bitcoin, 1-hour bars, 2 years, 17,000+ real bars, fees included
· Buy on a bullish StochRSI cross in oversold, sell on a bearish cross in overbought
· 454 trades · 55.3% win rate · and it STILL lost money
· $10,000 → $5,118 (down 49%) · max drawdown -58%
· Just holding Bitcoin over the same window: +6%

How do you win 55% of your trades and still lose half your account? It banks the small winners fast and lets the losers run to the next signal. The wins are frequent but tiny; the losses are rare but huge. A high win rate is not an edge — the size of your wins vs losses is.

Limits: one asset, one timeframe, standard settings. Backtest, not live trading.

New here? I backtest a viral trading strategy every day — wins AND losses both get published.

Educational content only — not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. AI-narrated. Backtest in Python on real data (yfinance, BTC 1h).

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