π Stock Indexes (SPX, Nasdaq, Dow)
The S&P 500 just printed a new weekly and closing all-time high, confirming strong bullish momentum β but the move has been parabolic and unsustainable in the short term.
Key points:
β’ Sharp impulsive rallies β not typical behavior
β’ Suggests a corrective phase is near
β’ Expect a May pullback (2β3 weeks)
Levels:
β’ Potential downside β 6,900 (key support)
β’ Deeper scenario β 6,800 (strong buy zone)
Outlook:
π Correction = buying opportunity, not a bear market
The Nasdaq Composite shows a similar structure:
β’ Parabolic rally β overbought conditions
β’ Likely pullback toward 26,000β26,200
β’ Target for next leg β 30,000β31,000 (JuneβJuly)
The Dow Jones Industrial Average:
β’ More sideways/choppy structure
β’ Value stocks may outperform the next 4β5 months
β’ Upside target β 52,000
π₯ Gold & Silver
The Gold is forming a bearish setup:
β’ Sell signal triggered
β’ Forming a bear flag
β’ Likely continuation to the downside
Strategy:
π Wait for a lower low (below March levels)
π That zone = accumulation opportunity
The Silver:
β’ Similar corrective structure
β’ Potential drop toward $60 or lower
β’ Long-term upside still strong β possible major rally afterward
π’ Crude Oil
West Texas Intermediate is forming a top structure:
β’ May likely = corrective month
β’ Potential downside β $69β$76 range
Important:
π This is a correction, not a crash
π Next move after correction = bullish continuation
βΏ Crypto (Bitcoin & Ethereum)
Bitcoin is showing a classic corrective rally:
β’ Structure repeating previous cycle (DecβFeb vs FebβMay)
β’ Upside is limited
β’ Downside risk increasing
Outlook:
β’ Likely break below $64K
β’ Continued weakness over the next few months
The Ethereum:
β’ Similar pattern
β’ Potential top formation already in place
β’ Any bounce = limited
π Big Picture
β’ Markets just completed a parabolic rally to the ATH
β’ May = correction phase (healthy, expected)
β’ No immediate bear market β still mid-cycle bullish
β’ Next rally leg β JuneβJuly potential top window
Contents in this video:
…………………………………………………………………………….
00: 00 – Introduction
00: 10 – S&P 500 #spx price action analysis
02: 38 – Nasdaq #ndx price action analysis
04: 05 – Dow Jones Industrial Average #us30 price action analysis
06: 48 – Gold #gold analysis
07: 38 – Silver #silver analysis
08: 15 – Crude #wti analysis
09: 05 – #bitcoin analysis
10: 48 – #Stocks
…………………………………………………………………………….
I highly recommend watching the two videos below:
1) My Stock Market Forecast for 2025
https://youtu.be/wM8CjCRYQww
2) Hidden Signal | QM Patten | Supply and Demand Lesson
https://youtu.be/h_–Xqmk3Gk
3) QM Pattern within the supply and demand area
https://youtu.be/X8UM9mrV7MU
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