I just launched a free 3-day SMC strategy course that walks through exactly how I trade structure, liquidity, and entries as a full-time trader.
You can access it here: https://access.dailypriceaction.com/smc-strategy
In today’s outlook, I break down what I’m watching on DXY, EURUSD, GBPUSD, and XAUUSD so you know where structure is shifting and where real opportunities could set up next.
DXY (US Dollar Index) Outlook
The DXY saw a sharp selloff last week, and structure has clearly shifted.
We had early warning signs through acceptance below the distribution channel, followed by a confirmed change of character on the 4-hour and daily timeframes.
Right now, sellers remain in control.
This entire move higher looks more like a retrace within a larger bearish leg rather than the start of a new bullish trend.
I’m watching the area around 97 closely.
There’s a clear imbalance and displacement from this region on the higher timeframes, and markets tend to revisit these areas.
That said, I’m not expecting an immediate bounce.
If demand forms, I want to see a proper low-timeframe base and confirmation before treating it as anything more than a short-term reaction.
EURUSD Outlook
EURUSD responded exactly how you’d expect with dollar weakness, posting a strong bullish expansion late last week.
Just like the DXY, the euro gave early clues through a clean distribution channel and acceptance above prior highs before structure officially shifted.
This was an early signal that buyers were stepping in before the higher-timeframe change of character confirmed it.
That behavior change is key.
On the lower timeframes, we also saw textbook liquidity sweep reversals.
Stops built above highs, liquidity was taken, acceptance followed, and price moved cleanly back into imbalance.
Looking ahead, I’m watching the upper daily wick area around 1.1880.
There’s a clear fair value gap and unfilled region that price never revisited, which makes it a natural magnet.
That area could act as both a target and a potential reversal zone depending on how price reacts when it gets there.
GBPUSD Outlook
GBPUSD had a monster move to end the week, with buyers firmly in control.
We previously saw a clean bearish setup play out with a liquidity sweep, acceptance below structure, and a retrace into imbalance that offered a high-quality short.
That move completed, structure flipped again.
We now have a confirmed break of structure to the upside, and price has moved aggressively without much of a pullback.
Because of that, the pound is stretched.
I’m watching the 136.90–137.00 area closely, which lines up with the 50% of the daily wick and a 15-minute fair value gap that was never filled.
From here, there are two scenarios I’m focused on.
Either we pull back first into lower-timeframe imbalances and then push higher, or we push straight into that upper zone and look for a reaction.
The presence or absence of a pullback will dictate whether I’m looking for longs or standing aside.
XAUUSD (Gold) Outlook
Gold continues to trend higher with little resistance.
This is classic bullish behavior, similar to what we’ve seen during previous strong expansions.
Shorts are off the table for me.
This is a buy-the-pullback environment only.
One thing to be aware of is the psychological level near 5,000.
Big round numbers matter, and we could see short-term reactions or profit-taking near that level.
Unless something significant changes, I’m simply waiting for a retrace and a lower-timeframe change of character to look for continuation buys.
If you want to learn the exact SMC framework I use to trade full-time, check out the free 3-part training linked below.
It’s the same process I use every single day.
Subscribe to the channel, keep it locked in, and I’ll talk to you again on Monday.
CHAPTERS
0: 00 Intro & Thank You
0: 48 DXY
5: 50 EURUSD
9: 06 GBPUSD
15: 35 XAUUSD
OTHER SMC LESSONS
Steal my liquidity sweep entry model (beginner-friendly)
https://youtu.be/XH4TAoLCFBk
My favorite reversal pattern
https://youtu.be/z6osi7TZCZQ
BoS and CHoCH made simple
https://youtu.be/FE1bgD9N6DM
Premium, discount, and OTE explained
https://youtu.be/UWrvexqN3w8
DXY analysis, EURUSD analysis, GBPUSD analysis, AUDUSD analysis, XAUUSD analysis, weekly forex outlook, smc outlook, forex bias, trade plan
Disclaimer: This video is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Trading forex, crypto, and other markets involves risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Always do your own research and never risk money you can’t afford to lose. I am not responsible for any losses you may incur from acting on the information in this video.